Both parties are catching ghosts at the same time, and Trump wins Harris by a small margin. The 2024 US election has entered the sprint period, and there are more and more jokes made by the Republican and Democratic parties in the United States. In recent days, both parties have been busy doing one thing, that is, "catching ghosts". First, former Republican Governor Herbst came out to reveal that although Waltz, Harris's carefully selected running partner, "has a blue heart towards the Democratic Party", his whole family is suspected to be MAGA. Herbst also posted a photo on his social homepage. In the photo, Waltz's eight relatives stood together, all neatly wearing "support Trump" "support T-shirts". Trump then followed suit and said that he would meet with Waltz's family soon and have a good talk with his supporters. Of course, the Democratic Party was not to be outdone and soon began to fight back. A few days after the news that Waltz's family was "MAGA" broke out, the Democratic Party found former Republican President Cheney to fight back against Trump. Cheney teamed up with his daughter and publicly told the media that although he is a conservative Republican, he will not vote for Trump in the general election in November this year. At first glance, the Democratic and Republican parties are tied this time. Both sides have exposed several heavyweight "insiders" and lost a lot of people. But is this really the case? It's not certain.

The reason for this is very simple. The split of the Republican Party is not really news. Cheney is a typical Republican establishment figure, and there is already a serious discord between him and MAGA. Previously, there was a farce in which the establishment House Speaker McCarthy secretly colluded with the Democrats, and was impeached and removed by MAGA.

When Trump chose his running mate, he did not choose a candidate favored by the establishment, but chose Vance, who was recommended by the tech giant and regarded as "Trump 2.0". Now Cheney has come out to "cut off", although it is quite ugly, but the Trump team and Trump's supporters must be mentally prepared so as not to shake his electoral base. But the situation of the Democratic Party is very embarrassing. After Biden withdrew from the election, the Democratic Party has been emphasizing one thing, that is, it is still united and has not fallen into the same split crisis as the Republican Party. But now, Waltz's "magic stroke" is equivalent to using practical actions to prove that the "unity" in the mouth of the Democratic Party is a joke. More importantly, the division of the Republican Party can also be attributed to the discord between the establishment and the grassroots, but once the Democratic Party split, it jumped directly to the "MAGA" side. Democratic voters were already suspicious of Harris's temporary "grassroots team", and now Waltz is suspected to be from a "MAGA" family, which will only make them more suspicious.

At present, Harris and Trump's support rates in various states are very close. However, considering the preference of the mainstream media in the United States for the Democratic Party, the credibility of these poll data is undoubtedly questionable. Moreover, the Democratic Party is the ruling party. In the next few months, the situation will increasingly turn unfavorable to the United States and the West. The worsening conflict in Ukraine and the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates will cause a considerable impact on the United States and affect voters' willingness to vote for Harris. Under such circumstances, the Democratic Party's ability to withstand pressure is obviously more fragile. If the Democratic Party releases a signal of division at this time, it will become more and more difficult for Harris to compete with Trump. The current Democratic Party is obviously more restless than the Republican Party, and can't afford a "credibility attrition war".